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Election Forensics Toolkit

Current efforts to promote the integrity of elections around the world are multi-pronged. They include promoting the development and capacity of independent election agencies, ballot reform, and on-the-ground monitoring of elections by domestic and foreign observers. Social scientists have been adding to this effort by developing tools and techniques designed to detect the presence of fraud or malfeasance in an election and to estimate its magnitude. Supported by a Research and Innovation Grant from USAID's Center of Excellence on Democracy, Human Rights and Governance, this project seeks to harness these efforts to create innovative resources for policymakers, practitioners, and scholars who study and evaluate election outcomes, enabling them to evaluate better the integrity of election returns.

One of the primary products is an Election Results Evaluation Tool, a sophisticated data-based instrument for reporting quantitative election forensic results with a user-friendly interface that complements existing international efforts at monitoring electoral integrity. The Evaluation Tool is available at the link below.

Data visualization results produced by the Toolkit are available as examples for the following elections: Afghanistan 2014, Albania 2013, Bangladesh 2001, Cambodia 2013, Kenya 2013, Libya 2014, South Africa 2014, Uganda 2006.

The project team is seeking official election results and GIS files of administrative and electoral districts, as well as polling stations, for inclusion in the database underlying our Evaluation Tool. Interested parties should send data files to election-forensics@umich.edu.

Project Team

Walter Mebane, Principal Investigator
Allen Hicken, Principal Investigator
David Backer, Researcher
Ken Kollman, Researcher
Lauren Guggenheim, Project Manager
Kirill Kalinin, Research Associate
Jonathan Wall, Research Assistant

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The Election Forensic Toolkit webpages are made possible by the American People through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The content of these pages are the sole responsibility of CLEA and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government.

U-M UMD USAID IIE